Probability Properties and Functions


Properties and Functions

Mutually exclusive
the elements of one set are not contained in another. For example, if A ∩ B = ∅, then A and B are mutually exclusive.

The field of probability is defined by axioms. If S is a set of numbers containing certain members then:

Axiom 1: if A is an event in S, then P(A) >= 0.
Axiom 2: P(S) = 1. The probability of the whole sample space is one.
Axiom 3: if A and B are mutually exclusive then P ( A ∪ B ) = P(A) + P(B). In other words, if the separate events of A and B are counted together, their probabilities are added.

As a result of these axioms, probability can be defined by certain properties.

1. P(Ac) = 1 - P(A) The probability of an event not occurring is the same as one minus the probability of that event occurring.
2. P(∅) = 0 The probability of no event happening is 0.
3. If A ⊆ B then P(A) <= P(B) If that event is part of a larger event, then it's probability is less.
4. P(A) <= 1 The probability of any event is less than or equal to 1.
5. P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) If events A and B are joined together, then their probabilities are added together minus where they overlap.
statistics and probability overlapping sets

Let the probability of S or P(S) be defined by the area of the rectangle of S and to be equal to 1. Then P(A) is less than 1 and P(B) is less than 1. The union of A and B, P(A ∪ B) includes an area that overlaps. Since this overlap can only be counted once, its area of intersection is subtracted out. This area of intersection is P(A ∩ B).

Probability Functions

Discrete

If the sample space has a finite number of outcomes it is discrete. If a is an element of A, the discrete probability function would be:

P(A) = ∑a ∈ A P(a)

Continuous

If the sample space has an infinite number of outcomes it is continuous. If A is an event in S and y is the outcome, then:

P(A) = ∫Af(y)dy

The area defined by A of the function of y is the probability of event A.